Wednesday, June 29, 2022

 The Delusions of Faith

"A delusion is a false, unshakeable idea or belief, which is out of keeping with the patient’s educational, cultural and social background; it is held with extraordinary conviction and subjective certainty. ~ Professor Andrew Sims - Is Faith Delusion?"

In other words, perfectly normal people now doing and thinking irrational things. The Trump phenomenon is inexplicable when otherwise sane people suddenly go rabid and take up arms to follow a madman. 

Lucian K. Truscott IV seems to hit the nail on the head. About 20 times. This is his essay.
 
There was a reason Mark Meadows and Donald Trump were “unconcerned,” as Cassidy Hutchinson testified yesterday, when police lines broke on January 6 and Trump’s followers began battering the Capitol trying to get in. A violent assault on the Capitol was the plan all along, or had been at least since December 14, after electors had met and cast their ballots in the states and reported the results to the National Archives. Trump was out of options. Violence was all he had left.
 
The next step was certifying those ballots, counting them, and declaring the winner of the presidential election at a joint session of Congress on January 6. Trump’s plan to get Jeffrey Clark to send letters to states, beginning with Georgia, falsely asserting that the Department of Justice had found irregularities in the votes in battleground states, and the DOJ was recommending that the state legislatures meet and appoint their own slates of Trump electors, had been shot down at the late night meeting in the Oval Office when practically the entire top rank of the DOJ had threatened to resign if Clark was appointed.
 
That was only days before January 6. Already in the Willard Hotel, across Lafayette Park from the White House, a so-called war room had been established to oversee the events that would take place on the 6th, beginning with the speech on the Ellipse followed by the march on the Capitol and the violent assault that would take Trump’s army inside. Mark Meadows wanted to go to the Willard to join the war room in progress on the night of January 5, but was disabused of the idea by, yes, Cassidy Hutchinson. He called into the war room meeting instead.
 
Attempts had been made in the run up to the Ellipse rally by Pat Cippollone and others in the White House to get speech writers to take the lines about going to the Capitol, among others, out of Trump’s speech, without success. Riling up the crowd with lies and sending them to the Capitol was written into the speech days ahead. Trump apparently didn’t decide that he wanted to go to the Capitol himself until that morning, but when he did, he tried to take control of the presidential limousine himself and assaulted his own Secret Service agent when he was told there wasn’t enough security and he was returning to the White House.
 
In the West Wing, as cable news showed images of his followers violently attacking Capitol police and breaking into the Capitol, Trump sat calmly in the Oval Office dining room watching it happen. Mark Meadows was a few dozen yards down the hall in his own office “on his phone,” as Ms. Hutchinson put it.
 
Neither man was shocked because the assault on the Capitol was going just as it had been planned.
 
I think when the hearings reconvene that we’re going to hear and see evidence of coordination between Trump or his close associates like Rudy Giuliani and possibly his own sons with Proud Boys and Oath Keepers in the days immediately before the assault. The entire leadership of both groups are presently behind bars, held without bail, pending trials on charges of conspiracy to commit sedition against the government of the United States. The indictment of the Proud Boys revealed that more than one of them has flipped and has given evidence against his fellow Proud Boys leaders.
 
Multiple people in Trump’s close orbit are in the same place the Proud Boys have found themselves, facing multiple years in prison. Somebody is going to flip.
 
Unless a corrupt leader has the country’s military behind him, coup attempts don’t work. The Proud Boys and the Oath Keepers and a few wrung-out drunken lawyers aren’t enough to bring down a government, even when the president of the United States is the one leading them. 
 
After the hearings, right-wing commentators and Trump loyalists went after Cassidy Hutchinson with a vengeance. What she had described – a grown man throwing temper tantrums, Trump attacking his own Secret Service agents trying to get them to take him to the Capitol – was so pathetic, something had to be done to discredit her. Trump himself, of course, immediately claimed "I hardly know who this person, Cassidy Hutchinson, is, other than I heard very negative things about her (a total phony and “leaker”).
 
Hemingway famously wrote that you go bankrupt in two ways: “Gradually, then suddenly.”
 
Trump, no stranger to bankruptcy, has left the gradual stage.

 

 

Thursday, February 17, 2022

Canadians and Democracy or the Great Truck Ball debacle.

by Joe Thornton

17 Feb 2022

What we are currently looking at is a marginal segment of Canadian society who have suddenly decided that because they aren’t being heard they have the right to make people listen.  So with that in mind they all saddled up their pickup trucks, balls dangling, rounded up a few semi’s and its off to the Ottawa rodeo. 


The problem with our representational democracy is that we elect people to speak for us.  We seldom have the opportunity to approach the king of the hill directly in any substantive manner.
 
Representational democracy generally allows for dissent to be heard and dealt with through discussion and a vote taken of those elected officials present – our Members of Parliament or at the provincial level our Members of Legislative Assembly.  Here’s the thing. If you don’t like what is happening in government the person for you to talk to is your representative. No one talks to their reps. No one makes them accountable. They keep electing them over and over for years without ever attending a constituency meeting or a townhall.
 
We have argued and discussed the shortcomings of such a system many times over the decades, always arriving at the conclusion that it’s still the best system we have, short of direct participation in democracy.

The problem with direct participation is that there are just too damn many of us. 27.4 million Eligible electors to be exact, more or less…  We’d never get anything passed ever if we had to wait for them all to have their say and vote.
Until now that is.

Electronically it might be possible to accomplish this by allotting a few moments daily while the house is sitting to vote via a secure electronic device on the issues of the day.  The internet and parliamentary servers would have to be beefed up somewhat to allow for that kind of traffic but that’s coming anyway… you know, “the Metaverse”.
 
That works until someone decides not to play. They want all the marbles and don’t want anyone else to have any.  These are the disrupters who don’t care what anyone else wants. They demand that their wants and desires apply to everyone else whether the others want them or not.

Then comes the small block protests who refrain from voting to prove their point, later coming out in opposition because they didn’t vote and their voices weren’t heard. Again with the pickup trucks and the semi’s and the hot tubs on Wellington…

In order to have a law and order society we need to have law and order. It is evident that occasionally the enforcement of those principals has to be more heavy handed than we would like.
 
The part of democracy that everyone is missing is “responsibility”.  We are all responsible to make democracy work. This is not a top down initiative, it is a bottom up action. Get with it Canada, we can be the crown jewel of democracy or continue to be the laughing stock of the world.

Friday, March 30, 2018

British Columbia vs Alberta and BC’s increasing need for fossil fuels


Written by Joe Thornton - March 29, 2018  Material compiled from corporate and government web sources.

Want some sobering facts about automobiles, airplanes and Vancouver fuel requirements?  This article is analyzing where the oil comes from and who are the owners. Who benefits financially from the Trans Mountain Pipeline? It's not who you think. I get that some of you won't accept facts even when they are in front of you, so if that's you, don't read this. It'll be a waste of time. Go buy some weed and chill. Yes, I'm being purposefully provocative.

Onward. There are over 1 billion cars on the world's roads as of right now, almost all of them petroleum powered.  As of today 17,516,700 Cars produced so far this year,  203,017 Cars produced today as of this posting.  http://www.worldometers.info/ There are about ten produced every minute on a worldwide basis. http://energybc.ca/cache/oil/www.worldometers.info/cars/index.html   Bloombergs best estimate is that Tesla has manufactured 11,189 Model 3s so far, and is now building approximately 975 a week. (https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2018-tesla-tracker/)  Other electric car manufacturers currently have a negligible output when compared to global totals. 
 
Ya with me so far?  Unless you want to walk everywhere, or invest in pedal power, Vancouver, you're going to need gasoline for quite awhile yet.  

There are now almost 2.5 million people living in BC's Lower Mainland, representing 60% of the province's population. But only one small refinery remains in the area - a 55,000 bbl/day facility on the edge of Burnaby Mountain operated by Chevron. The Chevron refinery only supplies 30% of the area's gasoline needs. In the past, Edmonton was able to satisfy the balance. But pipeline constraints and a growing population in Alberta and BC result in periodic shortfalls. And that shortfall is made up by importing gasoline from Washington State refineries located just across the BC/US border.

Vancouver's YVR International Airport is the second-busiest in Canada. The number of long-haul flights to Asia grows every day, and with it grows the need for jet fuel. The Chevron plant only supplies 40% of the airport's jet fuel requirements, forcing them to truck in 1,000 loads of fuel per month from BP's Cherry Point Refinery in Washington State. Every additional flight to Asia adds another 800 truckloads per year. The airport's growth is becoming unsustainable under current circumstances. Even a minor supply disruption of jet fuel would threaten their existing operations.
But YVR Airport isn't waiting for Canadian refineries to make more jet fuel. The city is building a marine terminal on the South Arm of the Fraser River. The plan is to import jet fuel from Washington State by tanker and run a 13 km underground pipeline through the city of Richmond to the YVR airport.

Ya with me so far?  Tankers coming INTO the area with fuel on board.  Huh? I can't hear you? No protesting? No one upset?  Hmmmm...  

So here's the deal.  West coast refining margins are some of the best in the world, none better than those located in Washington State, just a stone's throw from BC's Lower Mainland. The northwestern corner of Washington State is home to 5 refineries with a combined capacity of over 630,000 bbl/day. These refineries have a major competitive advantage - they can source discounted heavy oil from the oil sands (via the Trans Mountain Pipeline) and discounted light oil from the Bakkens (delivered by rail). The state produces premium low-sulphur gasoline and diesel shipped out to lucrative markets such Oregon, California, Hawaii, Asia and yes, even Vancouver.  Washington State exports a whopping 14% of its final products to BC's Lower Mainland.

Anybody getting it yet? This is what Alberta is trying to accomplish.  We are trying to get our supply to the markets in our/your backyard. A product that you are going to need for quite a while unless you want to go back to equine transportation. Going cold turkey on your petroleum addiction won't cut it this time. 

Why do you hate Alberta so much? It'd be so much easier if you'd just work with us and we can get to green together. We want to, but we need your money to do it, and you need our fuel.

Kinder Morgan

Kinder Morgan is a pipeline company not an oil producer. They just provide a service, like CN/CP Rail is also doing. Any bitumen being discussed is supplied by Suncor – the percentage makeup is explained below. Toss into the mix some crude that is coming from Fort St John BC through Edmonton and some light crude that comes from several smaller Alberta oil companies. Trans Mountain is a multipurpose pipe that is also transporting Aviation fuel made just outside Edmonton, gasoline, diesel and condensate also get a slot. 

The Trans Mountain Pipeline carries crude and refined oil from Alberta to the west coast of British Columbia, Canada. It is wholly owned by the Canadian division of Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (Kinder Morgan) and has been in use since 1953. It is the only pipeline to run between these two areas.

The Burnaby Refinery is an oil refinery located in the city of Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada owned by Parkland Fuel Corp.. The facility refines crude and synthetic oil into gasoline, diesel, jet fuels, asphalts, heating fuels, heavy fuel oils, butanes, and propane. Crude oil is supplied to the facility from Northern British Columbia and Alberta through the 1,200-kilometre Kinder Morgan Pipe Line. The refinery is divided into Area 1 now used for offices and oil storage and Area 2 the modern refining area. Former and original owner-operator Chevron sold its Canadian assets to Parkland Fuel Corp for C$1.46 billion in April 2017, including 129 gasoline stations, three terminals and the Burnaby oil refinery.

The refinery was established in 1935 by Standard Oil of California as one of few heavy industries in the area at that time - 2000 bbls/day. Major expansion took place in mid 1950's to 11,000 bbls/day as part of post war BC building boom. Further capacity increases in mid 1970’s to 35,000 bbls/day including a steady advancement in technology. Other lower mainland refineries were converted to terminals in early 1990’s with production transferred to Alberta.

Moving right along getting to the issue at hand which is bitumen. Who owns it? 

The Oil Sands Syncrude Partnership

Syncrude Canada Ltd. is one of the world's largest producers of synthetic crude oil from oil sands and the largest single source producer in Canada. It is located just outside Fort McMurray in the Athabasca Oil Sands, and has a nameplate capacity of 350,000 barrels per day (56,000 m3/d) of oil, equivalent to about 13% of Canada's consumption. It has approximately 5.1 billion barrels (810,000,000 m3) of proven and probable reserves (11.9 billion when including contingent and prospective resources) situated on 8 leases over 3 contiguous sites. Including fully realized prospective reserves, current production capacity could be sustained for well over 90 years.

The company is a joint venture between five partners. As a result, Syncrude is not traded directly, but rather through the individual owners. As of February 2018, the partners (by percentage): Suncor Energy (58.74%), Imperial Oil (25%), Sinopec (9.03%), Nexen (7.23%). Because of Nexen's subsequent takeover by CNOOC, over 16% of the shares in Syncrude are controlled by State Owned Enterprises (SOE).

The ownership board must approve all annual operating budgets and proposed capital spending projects, and are required to provide the funding for said activities based on their ownership share.

Calgary’s Suncor Energy Inc. - increased its stake in the Syncrude joint venture and acquired a stake in the Fenja Development, an offshore project in the Norwegian Sea, in a pair of deals.  Under the first agreement, Suncor acquired Mocal Energy’s five per cent interest in Syncrude for approximately $920 million.  

The acquisition increases Suncor’s share in Syncrude to 58.74 per cent from 53.74 per cent. The other partners include Calgary’s Imperial Oil Resources with 25 per cent, Calgary based Sinopec Oil Sands Partnership with 9.03 per cent and the Calgary based Nexen Oil Sands Partnership with 7.23 per cent.

Imperial Oil Limited is a Canadian petroleum company. It is Canada's second-biggest integrated oil company. ... Imperial owns 25 percent of Syncrude, which is one of the world's largest oil sands operations.

Suncor is the world's largest producer of bitumen, and owns and operates an oil sands upgrading plant near Fort McMurray, Alberta, Canada. Originally developed by Great Canadian Oil Sands which was a majority-owned subsidiary of Sun Oil, it is now wholly owned by the independent Suncor.

Sinopec Canada is a diversified unconventional oil and natural gas company, focused on developing our asset base in Alberta and north east British Columbia. The Company has a balanced mix of crude oil, liquids-rich natural gas and resource play natural gas and is a 9.03% partner in the Syncrude Oilsands Joint Venture. Sinopec Canada is a business unit of Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration and Production Corporation (SIPC) and is indirectly owned by China Petrochemical Corporation (Sinopec Group), one of the world's largest enterprises.

Nexen is an upstream oil and gas company responsibly developing energy resources in the UK North Sea, offshore West Africa, the United States and Western Canada. A wholly-owned subsidiary of CNOOC Limited, Nexen has three principal businesses: conventional oil and gas, oil sands and shale gas / oil.

CNOOC Limited, incorporated in the Hong Kong Special Administration Region in August 1999, was listed on the New York Stock Exchange (code: CEO) and The Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited on 27 and 28 February 2001, respectively. The Company was admitted as a constituent stock of the Hang Seng Index in July 2001. The Company’s American Depositary Receipts (“ADRs”) was listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (code: CNU) on 18 September 2013.

In a separate heavy oil operation that spans the Alberta Saskatchewan border, Calgary based Husky Energy is a publically traded Canadian company that operates the Husky Lloydminster Upgrader, in Lloydminster, Saskatchewan, which converts heavy oil to a high-quality, low sulphur synthetic oil. This travels via pipeline eastward through Prince Albert and down to Regina where it supplies under contract to the Co-op Refinery Complex which was established in 1935.  It eventually joins the Keystone One and I believe the pipeline east to Ontario. 
 
Westward it provides petroleum to service it’s Husky Prince George Refinery, and from its Oil Sands Sunrise Energy Project, it supplies heavy oil/bitumen into the Trans Mountain pipeline.

Husky owns and operates the Prince George Refinery in Prince George, British Columbia. The refinery provides unleaded gasoline, seasonal diesel fuels, mixed propane and butane, and heavy fuel oil. The refinery's capacity is 12,000 bpd.

So the Canadian Oil Sands being a total corporate foreign owned venture is pretty much just a myth. There are foreign ownership elements but they are minor at this point as mentioned earlier in this article.

The corporations involved are all Canadian Corporations headquartered in Calgary.  Ownership shares are partially owned in a few cases by foreign entities but overall as mentioned the majority of the Oilsands are now owned by SunCor a Canadian Company.

The actual shareholdings are a bit more difficult to pin down but they are owned entirely by institutional investors.  That generally indicates a conglomerate of pension funds and banks.

On that basis, the top five institutional shareholders of Suncor are - FMR LLC; Wellington Management Group, Royal Bank of Canada, Capital World Investors, Invesco Ltd. FMR is a Boston investment company. Wellington Management - Also a Boston Investment company. Royal Bank no explanation necessary I hope, Capital World Investors - based in Los Angeles. Also an investment company. Invesco is from Atlanta Georgia and does not appear to be an institutional investor but is likely a single purpose. company setup to raise capital. So no Texans in the top five. 

Capital investment in Canada’s energy sector generates development activity, which in turn spurs job creation and economic growth across Canada for all levels of government – including about $19 billion in revenues in 2015 and 533,000 jobs across the nation in 2017.

Oil sands development creates a significant number of jobs outside Alberta. In fact, more than 3,400 Canadian companies outside of Alberta supplied the oil sands with good and services in 2014 and 2015. The goods, materials and services used to construct and operate in situ oil sands projects, mines and upgraders come from across Canada. Many of the components – trucks, gauges, valves, pumps – are produced in Ontario and Quebec.

In 2017, the oil sands supported and created more than 223,000 direct and indirect jobs across Canada. (Prism Economics, 2017). Many of these jobs are in provinces outside of Alberta - the goods, materials and services used to construct and operate oil sands projects, mines and upgraders come from across North America. Many of the components — tires, trucks, gauges, valves, pumps, etc. — are produced in Ontario and Quebec.

According to the Canadian Energy Research Institute (CERI), almost every region in Canada has been stimulated by oil sands development through job creation and economic activity.

Alberta’s natural resources belong to Albertans. In exchange for the right to develop these resources, companies pay the government a royalty. This is a percentage of revenues generated from the sale of oil and natural gas products, or in some cases takes the product in-kind for the government to sell.

Royalties are just one way oil and natural gas producers contribute to government revenues. Many different government taxation policies affect exploration and development of Alberta’s natural resources.

The oil and natural gas industry is Canada’s largest private sector investor, with oil sands alone injecting almost $14 billion into the economy in 2017. The oil sands industry and its suppliers contribute to government revenues through corporate taxes, personal income taxes, property taxes, royalties, land sales and other costs. Over the next 20 years, the oil sands industry is expected to pay $1.7 trillion in provincial and federal taxes – including royalties. These revenues contribute to government spending on infrastructure, social services and other important programs. A healthy oil sands industry results in higher revenues for governments.

The drive towards sustainable growth in the economy, along with a new Climate Leadership Plan introduced by the Government of Alberta in November 2015 will create a wide range opportunities in Alberta’s renewable energy market.

Alberta’s government is serious about addressing climate change. Alberta’s plan features a phase out of coal-fired power by 2030 and replacing at least 50-75% of retired coal generation with renewable power, increasing the overall share of renewables to 30%.

Alberta is serious about renewable energy.  As one of its first actions under the Climate Leadership Plan, the Government of Alberta chose the Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) to develop and implement a renewable electricity program (REP) to add additional renewable generation capacity into Alberta’s electricity system. REP 1 results were announced in December 2018. This is the lowest renewable power prices seen in Canada at $37/MWh.

As of February 2018, there are two more REP procurement auctions available.

The Alberta government has also established Energy Efficiency Alberta to administer multiple efficiency programs for Alberta residents and businesses. Program details can be found here.
The transition to a larger proportion of renewable energy in Alberta's electricity market offers a phenomenal business opportunity. It's estimated $10.5 billion in new investment will flow into the provincial economy by 2030, creating at least 7,000 new jobs for Albertans as projects are built.
The province has proven potential for large scale investments in both wind and solar energy. For example, Alberta’s solar resource is 25% greater than Ontario’s and 30% greater than Germany’s, according to the Canadian Solar Industries Association. Alberta is Canada’s third largest producer of wind energy and that’s using only 1% of the estimated total wind energy potential in the province.
As Canada’s only fully deregulated electricity market, Alberta offers extensive opportunities for renewable power generation and smart grid technology. Alberta’s competitive electricity market has resulted in over 9000 megawatts (MW) of new electricity generating capacity since 1998. 

There is currently 16,242 MW of installed generating capacity in Alberta.

As of August 2015, future development proposed by industry includes over 2,400 MW of renewable generation and over 7,700 MW of thermal and other generation.

Coal-fired plants account for almost 38 per cent, while natural gas accounts for almost 44 per cent of the market, as of August 2015. The remaining 13 per cent is generated through hydro, wind, biomass and waste heat. Critical as well to Alberta’s electricity industry is the use of cogeneration. The process of cogeneration is economically friendly and efficient as the input fuel (such as natural gas or biomass) generates electricity and steam/heat for industrial processes simultaneously.

Co-generation of electricity strongly contributes to Alberta’s energy supply with over 30%, or 4,600 MW, of total installed generation capacity as of December 2014. Co-generation is environmentally efficient as it substantially reduces greenhouse gas emissions.

The province has nine biomass co-generation facilities and four waste heat facilities.  

The Alberta Electric System Operator (AESO) is Canada’s first customer-focused exchange for electricity. As an independent system operator, the AESO leads the safe, reliable and economic operation and planning of Alberta’s interconnected power system. The AESO also facilitates Alberta’s competitive wholesale electricity market which, in 2014, had 196 participants and approximately $5 billion in annual energy transactions.

Alberta’s electricity system is owned and operated by a mix of investor-owned and municipally owned companies, of which many are based in Calgary.

Friday, May 27, 2016

The Great Conservative/Republican Jobs Deception



By Joe Thornton   May 27, 2016

The US Republicans, The Libertarians, the Canadian Conservative/Reform/Alliance Party, The UK Tories are all frauds.  They promote the ideal that social welfare is somehow evil in and of itself, that empathy and compassion for ones fellow man is abhorrent and must be eliminated at any cost, that it drags the country into debt and poverty itself.

Now think about this for a moment.  Every one of those political parties support corporate tax cuts, corporate subsidies, almost non-existent resource royalties where the unarguably rich are allowed to steal the resource wealth of a country for their own gain – in essence they are all for corporate welfare.

The hue and cry is: Who will provide the jobs if the corporations are not given the right breaks? Hmmmm…  following the money here.  If the governments of the countries involved are giving those kind of massive business and tax breaks to corporations so that they will be the job creators – isn’t that the government creating the jobs, not the corporate structure, or even the rich?

What’s the difference between that and the ruling party of a country creating job making incentives directly?  Or even doing roadwork and public construction projects through the public works department and putting the workforce directly on payroll? It would eliminate the middleman corporations who seldom pass along the promised jobs and what is supposed to be a literal money flow from the government to the citizens of the country. 

To make matters worse most often these days corporations keep the bucks and offshore the tax liability then they further offshore the labour for product production, shipping the goods back from India and China with no net gain of any jobs to the country who provided the breaks in the first place.  Where in this scenario are the poor a drag on the system?

There is an implicit promise by the corporations to be good citizens and help the country grow and prosper – the old “what’s good for General Motors is good for America” is an adage long gone. 

Regardless of political stripe people have to wake up to the reality that governments have ALWAYS been the job creators regardless of the political party involved.  Eliminate the middlemen. Hire direct.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Why are Harper Cons So Nasty?

During the course of this election, I have never read more negative comments by whiny nasty  Harperites ever.  Cons seem to open their mouths and venom comes out.  They bash, they belittle they insult and pretty much outright slander anyone who opposes their god Stephen Harper. Wow!.  Do none of you ever have anything positive to say?  Facts stare you in the face but its water off a ducks back.  Now that's indoctrination.  We'll have more on that front in another post.  At the same time you have proponents of the other two major candidates who seem to be rather civilized when compared to the Harper Cons.  Has the Harper party been reduced to nothing but illiterate rednecks?   Are Progressive thinking people more intelligent and less reactionary than the average Harper Con?  Some studies seem to indicate that to be the case.

This arose from Facebook comments regarding Justin Trudeau.  The slagging was over Justin's proposal to run a deficit in order to fund infrastructure projects which would subsequently create an impressive number of jobs.  To be honest I don't know what to think of young Justin, but his ideas aren't dumb by any stretch.

Anyway my two cents worth:  No one can deny that infrastructure across Canada is in dismal condition and in desperate need of rebuilding before more bridges fall on cars.  We need roads that we don't have, we need flood control projects built (Calgary two years ago), we are in need of transportation projects so that people can get to work without spending four hours a day in idling autos.  That might equate to high speed rail in Alberta since Rachel Notley is studying expansion of the QEII - why not a train instead?  Schools need to be built.  Hospitals need to be built.  The list is long. 

The most interesting aspect of this is how similar this all is to the situation that FDR found himself in in 1933. Roosevelt's New Deal that was also opposed by the conservatives of the day.  There is no denying that it created jobs, jobs that built projects that made the USA great. 

Harper's disciples can't figure this out.  Harper will never put a dime into any of these things and somehow that makes them happy.  I find it reminiscent the times I have driven through towns in the southern USA where they have dirt streets (not even gravel), no street lights, and everyone has their own septic tank and water deliveries. Asking about it at the local diner, I was told that no one would vote for the improvements to be made.  It wasn't that it was a poor district, but no one wanted anyone else in town to benefit from their dollars.  It has apparently been an impasse for over fifty years. 

Harper Cons are starting to look like those stingy stubborn folks who never wanted anyone else to have the benefit of a penny of their tax dollars. There is a comfortable middle point where we all get to enjoy the benefits of everyone giving a little to make things better for all. 

Trudeau is saying he will make the improvements that have been long needed.  The deficit he is talking about is no worse than what Harper has already created during his ten years in office. After starting off with a surplus in 2007-08 of $9.6 billion, the Harper government delivered a deficit of $5.8 billion in 2008-09 during the global recession.

In subsequent years, his Conservative governments generated shortfalls of $55.6 billion in 2009-10; $33.4 billion in 2010-11; $26.3 billion in 2011-12; $18.4 billion for 2012-13; and $5.2 billion for 2013-14.

To summarize, Harper-led governments ran a string of six straight deficits between 2008-09 and 2013-14.

But looking beyond 2013-14, the numbers have yet to be released, which means it’s difficult to predict the final results with absolute certainty.

In July, the parliamentary budget officer crunched numbers based on the Bank of Canada’s downgraded economic growth forecast. It found the federal government was actually on track to run a $1-billion deficit in 2015-16.

But with the 2015-16 fiscal year barely five months old, it’s still early to pin down what the final figure will be.

In fact, Canadians won’t know whether their government delivered an eighth consecutive shortfall until about a year from now – or roughly 11 months past the Oct. 19 election date.

Justin Trudeau says a Liberal government won't balance the books for three straight years but will double spending on infrastructure to jump-start economic growth.

The Liberal fiscal plan would see "a modest short-term deficit" of less than $10 billion for each of the first three years  and then a balanced budget by the 2019-2020 fiscal year.

This is a very Keynsian approach and has its supporters and detractors. Stephen Harper defended his government’s 2010 economic stimulus package in response to a recent Fraser Institute report claiming the stimulus had no effect on GDP.

"We’re not going to act on the basis of ideology, we’re going to act on the basis of what the economy needs.  And that is what we have done." – Stephen Harper

That indicates that Harper does believe in economic stimulus packages, but only when he does it.

So how does it all happen? The places a government can get its money from are: taxes, debt, income (royalties on resources), fines, or inflation.

Taxes are pretty obvious.  The government demands money from every citizen who worked or earned money in any way during the previous year.

Debt is money the government borrows.  It is the favorite instrument of governments big and small to get money by promising to tax later to pay.  Problem is by borrowing, they shrink the debt market. Thereby leaving less money for businesses and people to borrow for things like expanding their businesses or buying a house on credit.

Income is money that government earns by participating in the free market.  This can be anything from contracted services to royalties on natural resource exploitation.

Fines are pretty self explanatory, being money collected as punishment for crimes committed by individuals or corporations.

Inflation is the last way that government can raise money. This is what happens when government simply prints new money and issues it. The inflation is a sort of invisible tax. It’s a tax because it reduces the value of all the money everywhere at the same time.

If government prints money at a rate that keeps the value of money constant, then they can raise money without hurting anyone. This is the “secret” that the US Founding Fathers discovered a couple of centuries ago. It’s why they didn’t want the banks to be allowed to expand the currency through fractional reserve banking. It’s why they resisted creating a Federal Central Bank until 1913. President Lincoln paid for the Civil War without collecting a single penny in taxes using this method. It’s how the Continental Congress paid the soldiers in the Revolutionary War without borrowing a penny. Inflation at a proper rate will create money without causing any harm to the people.  This is the reason that governments push countries along in a constant state of inflation, except that now, they don't get the benefit of the currency expansion because both the US and Canada (as well as most of the world) have allowed the banks to be the key issuer of new currency. In Canada this happened in 1973.

All this to say that I don't see Trudeau's spending plans as dumb or foolish.  They are projects that we need, they have to be paid for sometime, somehow.  We may as well do it now and make jobs out of it rather than give the top 1% of rich folks tax breaks that they will never spend to build anything or to hire anyone.

Rich folks find places to hide their money, poor folks have to spend every dime to get though the month. 

At his inauguration in March 1933, Roosevelt declared in his lilting style, "Let me assert my firm belief that the only thing we have to fear is, fear itself — needless, unreasoning, unjustified terror which paralyzes needed efforts to convert retreat into advance."

Harper is in full economic retreat.

Thursday, January 03, 2013

Harper Launches Major First Nations Termination Plan


If other items in the constitution require all of the provinces to agree on changes, why are the portions pertaining to aboriginal rights allowed to be changed through convenient legislation?

CONSTITUTION ACT, 1982
1982, c. 11 (U.K.), Schedule B

PART II
RIGHTS OF THE ABORIGINAL PEOPLES OF CANADA

Marginal note: Recognition of existing aboriginal and treaty rights
35. (1) The existing aboriginal and treaty rights of the aboriginal peoples of Canada are hereby recognized and affirmed.
·         Definition of “aboriginal peoples of Canada”
(2) In this Act, “aboriginal peoples of Canada” includes the Indian, Inuit and Métis peoples of Canada.
·         Marginal note: Land claims agreements
(3) For greater certainty, in subsection (1) “treaty rights” includes rights that now exist by way of land claims agreements or may be so acquired.
·         Marginal note:  Aboriginal and treaty rights are guaranteed equally to both sexes
(4) Notwithstanding any other provision of this Act, the aboriginal and treaty rights referred to in subsection (1) are guaranteed equally to male and female persons. (96)

Harper Launches Major First Nations Termination Plan: As Negotiating Tables Legitimize Canada’s Colonialism

BY RUSSELL DIABO • NOV 9, 2012

Harper Launches Major First Nations Termination Plan: As Negotiating Tables Legitimize Canada’s Colonialism

BY RUSSELL DIABO • NOV 9, 2012

The following editorial was originally featured in the First Nations Strategic Bulletin (FNSB), June-October 2012. You can view/download this latest edition of the FNSB by clicking the following link: FNSB June-October 2012

On September 4th the Harper government clearly signaled its intention to:

1) Focus all its efforts to assimilate First Nations into the existing federal and provincial orders of government of Canada;
2) Terminate the constitutionally protected and internationally recognized Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights of First Nations.

Termination in this context means the ending of First Nations pre-existing sovereign status through federal coercion of First Nations into Land Claims and Self-Government Final Agreements that convert First Nations into municipalities, their reserves into fee simple lands and extinguishment of their Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty Rights.

To do this the Harper government announced three new policy measures:

·         A “results based” approach to negotiating Modern Treaties and Self-Government Agreements. This is an assessment process of 93 negotiation tables across Canada to determine who will and who won’t agree to terminate Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights under the terms of Canada’s Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government policies. For those tables who won’t agree, negotiations will end as the federal government withdraws from the table and takes funding with them.

·         First Nation regional and national political organizations will have their core funding cut and capped. For regional First Nation political organizations the core funding will be capped at $500,000 annually. For some regional organizations this will result in a funding cut of $1 million or more annually. This will restrict the ability of Chiefs and Executives of Provincial Territorial  organization’s to organize and/or advocate for First Nations rights and interests.

·         First Nation Band and Tribal Council funding for advisory services will be eliminated over the next two years further crippling the ability of Chiefs and Councils and Tribal Council executives to analyze and assess the impacts of federal and provincial policies and legislation on Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights.

These three new policy measures are on top of the following unilateral federal legislation the Harper government is imposing over First Nations:

·         Bill C-27: First Nations Financial Transparency Act
·         Bill C-45: Jobs and Growth Act, 2012 [Omnibus Bill includes Indian Act amendments regarding voting on-reserve lands surrenders/designations]
·          Bill S-2: Family Homes on Reserves and Matrimonial Interests or Rights Act
·          Bill S-6: First Nations Elections Act
·          Bill S-8: Safe Drinking Water for First Nations
·          Bill C-428: Indian Act Amendment and Replacement Act [Private Conservative MP’s Bill, but supported by Harper government]

Then there are the Senate Public Bills:

·         Bill S-207: An Act to amend the Interpretation Act (non derogation of aboriginal and treaty rights)
·          Bill S-212: First Nations Self-Government Recognition Bill

The Harper government’s Bills listed above are designed to undermine the collective rights of First Nations by focusing on individual rights. This is the “modern legislative framework” the Conservatives promised in 2006. The 2006 Conservative Platform promised to:

Replace the Indian Act (and related legislation) with a modern legislative framework which provides for the devolution of full legal and democratic responsibility to aboriginal Canadians for their own affairs within the Constitution, including the Charter of Rights and Freedoms.

Of course “modern” in Conservative terms means assimilation of First Nations by termination of their collective rights and off-loading federal responsibilities onto the First Nations themselves and the provinces.
One Bill that hasn’t been introduced into Parliament yet, but is still expected, is the First Nations’ Private Ownership Act (FNPOA). This private property concept for Indian Reserves—which has been peddled by the likes of Tom Flanagan and tax proponent and former Kamloops Chief Manny Jules—is also a core plank of the Harper government’s 2006 electoral platform.

The 2006 Conservative Aboriginal Platform promised that if elected a Harper government would:
Support the development of individual property ownership on reserves, to encourage lending for private housing and businesses.

The long-term goals set out in the Harper government’s policy and legislative initiatives listed above are not new; they are at least as old as the Indian Act and were articulated in the federal 1969 White Paper on Indian Policy, which set out a plan to terminate Indian rights as the time.

Previous Termination Plans: 1969 White Paper & Buffalo Jump of 1980’s

The objectives of the 1969 White Paper on Indian Policy were to:

·         Assimilate First Nations.
·         Remove legislative recognition.
·         Neutralize constitutional status.
·         Impose taxation.
·         Encourage provincial encroachment.
·         Eliminate Reserve lands & extinguish Aboriginal Title.
·         Economically underdevelop communities.
·         Dismantle Treaties.

As First Nations galvanized across Canada to fight the Trudeau Liberal government’s proposed 1969 termination policy the federal government was forced to consider a strategy on how to calm the Indian storm of protest.

In a memo dated April 1, 1970, David Munro, an Assistant Deputy Minister of Indian Affairs on Indian Consultation and Negotiations, advised his political masters Jean Chrétien and Pierre Trudeau, as follows:

. . . in our definition of objectives and goals, not only as they appear in formal documents, but also as stated or even implied in informal memoranda, draft planning papers, or causal conversation. We must stop talking about having the objective or goal of phasing out in five years. . . We can still believe with just as much strength and sincerity that the [White Paper] policies we propose are the right ones. . .

The final [White Paper] proposal, which is for the elimination of special status in legislation, must be relegated far into the future. . . my conclusion is that we need not change the [White Paper] policy content, but we should put varying degrees of emphasis on its several components and we should try to discuss it in terms of its components rather than as a whole. . . we should adopt somewhat different tactics in relation to [the White Paper] policy, but that we should not depart from its essential content. (Emphasis added)

In the early 1970’s, the Trudeau Liberal government did back down publicly on implementing the 1969 White Paper on Indian Policy, but as we can see from Mr. Munro’s advice the federal bureaucracy changed the timeline from five years to a long-term implementation of the 1969 White Paper objectives of assimilation/termination.

In the mid-1980’s the Mulroney Conservative government resurrected the elements of the 1969 White Paper on Indian Policy, through a Cabinet memo.

In 1985, a secret federal Cabinet submission was leaked to the media by a DIAND employee. The Report was nicknamed the “Buffalo Jump of the 1980’s” by another federal official. The nickname referred to the effect of the recommendations in the secret Cabinet document, which if adopted, would lead Status Indians to a cultural death -- hence the metaphor.

The Buffalo Jump Report proposed a management approach for First Nations policy and
programs, which had the following intent:

·         Limiting & eventually terminating the federal trust obligations;
·         Reducing federal expenditures for First Nations, under funding programs, and prohibiting deficit financing;
·         Shifting responsibility and costs for First Nations services to provinces and "advanced bands" through co-management, tri-partite, and community self-government agreements;
·         "Downsizing" of the Department of Indian Affairs and Northern Development (DIAND) through a devolution of program administration to "advanced bands" and transfer of programs to other federal departments;
·         Negotiating municipal community self-government agreements with First Nations which would result in the First Nation government giving up their Constitutional status as a sovereign government and becoming a municipality subject to provincial or territorial laws;
·         Extinguishing aboriginal title and rights in exchange for fee simple title under provincial or territorial law while giving the province or territory underlying title to First Nations lands.

The Mulroney government’s “Buffalo Jump” plan was temporarily derailed due the 1990 “Oka Crisis”. Mulroney responded to the “Oka Crisis” with his “Four Pillars” of Native Policy:

·         Accelerating the settlement of land claims;
·         Improving the economic and social conditions on Reserves;
·         Strengthening the relationships between Aboriginal Peoples and governments;
·         Examining the concerns of Canada’s Aboriginal Peoples in contemporary Canadian life.

In 1991, Prime Minister Brian Mulroney also announced the establishment of a Royal Commission on Aboriginal Peoples, which began its work later that year; the establishment of an Indian Claims Commission to review Specific Claims; the establishment of a BC Task Force on Claims, which would form the basis for the BC Treaty Commission Process.

In 1992, Aboriginal organizations and the federal government agreed, as part of the 1992 Charlottetown Accord, on amendments to the Constitution Act, 1982 that would have included recognition of the inherent right of self-government for Aboriginal people. For the first time, Aboriginal organizations had been full participants in the talks; however, the Accord was rejected in a national referendum.

With the failure of Canadian constitutional reform in 1992, for the last twenty years, the federal government—whether Liberal or Conservative—has continued to develop policies and legislation based upon the White Paper/Buffalo Jump objectives and many First Nations have regrettably agreed to compromise their constitutional/international rights by negotiating under Canada’s termination policies.

Canada’s Termination Policies Legitimized by Negotiation Tables

It has been thirty years since Aboriginal and Treaty rights have been “recognized and affirmed” in section 35 of Canada’s constitution. Why hasn’t the constitutional protection for First Nations’ Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights been implemented on the ground?

One answer to this question is, following the failure of the First Ministers’ Conferences on Aboriginal Matters in the 1980’s, many First Nations agreed to compromise their section 35 Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights by entering into or negotiating Modern Treaties and/or Self-government Agreements under Canada’s unilateral negotiation terms.

These Modern Treaties and Self-Government Agreements not only contribute to emptying out section 35 of Canada’s constitution of any significant legal, political or economic meaning. Final settlement agreements are then used as precedents against other First Nations’ who are negotiating.

Moreover, Canada’s Land Claims and Self-Government policies are far below the international standards set out in the Articles of the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (UNDRIP). Canada publicly endorsed the UNDRIP in November 2010, but obviously Canada’s interpretation of the UNDRIP is different than that of most First Nations, considering their unilateral legislation and policy approach.

Canada voted against UNDRIP on Sept. 13, 2007, stating that the UNDRIP was inconsistent with Canada’s domestic policies, especially the Articles dealing with Indigenous Peoples’ Self-Determination, Land Rights and Free, Prior Informed Consent.

Canada’s position on UNDRIP now is that they can interpret it as they please, although the principles in UNDRIP form part of international not domestic law.

The federal strategy is to maintain the Indian Act (with amendments) as the main federal law to control and manage First Nations. The only way out of the Indian Act for First Nations is to negotiate an agreement under Canada’s one-sided Land Claims and/or Self-Government policies. These Land Claims/Self-Government Agreements all require the termination of Indigenous rights for some land, cash and delegated jurisdiction under the existing federal and provincial orders of government.

Canada has deemed that it will not recognize the pre-existing sovereignty of First Nations or allow for a distinct First Nations order of government based upon section 35 of Canada’s constitution.

Through blackmail, bribery or force, Canada is using the poverty of First Nations to obtain concessions from First Nations who want out of the Indian Act by way of Land Claims/Self- Government Agreements. All of these Agreements conform to Canada’s interpretation of section 35 of Canada’s constitution, which is to legally, politically and economically convert First Nations into what are essentially ethnic municipalities.
The first groups in Canada who have agreed to compromise their section 35 Inherent and Aboriginal rights through Modern Treaties have created an organization called the Land Claims Agreement Coalition. The Coalition Members are:

·         Council of Yukon First Nations (representing 9 land claim organizations in the Yukon)
·         Grand Council of the Crees (Eeyou Istchee)
·         Gwich’in Tribal Council
·         Inuvialuit Regional Corporation
·         Kwanlin Dun First Nation
·         Maa-nulth First Nations
·         Makivik Corporation
·         Naskapi Nation of Kawawachikamach
·         Nisga’a Nation
·         Nunavut Tunngavik Inc.
·         Nunatsiavut Government
·         Sahtu Secretariat Inc.
·         Tlicho Government
·         Tsawwassen First Nation
·         Vuntut Gwitchin First Nation

The Land Claims Agreement Coalition Members came together because the federal government wasn’t properly implementing any of their Modern Treaties. So the Coalition essentially became a lobby group to collectively pressure the federal government to respect their Modern Treaties. According to Members of the Coalition Modern Treaty implementation problems persist today.

The fact that Canada has already broken the Modern Treaties shouldn't inspire confidence for those First Nations who are already lined up at Canada’s Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government negotiation tables.

According to the federal Department of Aboriginal Affairs there are 93 Modern Treaty and/or Self-Government negotiation tables across Canada 


Those First Nations who are negotiating at these 93 tables are being used by the federal government (and the provinces/Territories) to legitimize its Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government policies, which are based upon extinguishment of Aboriginal Title and termination of Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights.

The First Nations who have been refusing to negotiate and are resisting the federal Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government negotiating policies are routinely ignored by the federal government and kept under control and managed through the Indian Act (with amendments).

Attempts by non-negotiating First Nations to reform the federal Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government policies aren't taken seriously by the federal government because there are so many First Nations who have already compromised their Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty rights by agreeing to negotiate under the terms and funding conditions of these Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government policies.
For example, following the 1997 Supreme Court of Canada Delgamuukw decision, which recognized that Aboriginal Title exists in Canada, the Assembly of First Nations tried to reform the Comprehensive Claims policy to be consistent with the Supreme Court of Canada Delgamuukw decision.

However, the then Minister of Indian Affairs, Robert Nault on December 22, 2000, wrote a letter addressed to then Chief Arthur Manuel that essentially said why should the federal government change the Comprehensive Claims policy if First Nations are prepared to negotiate under it as it is?

A fair question: why do First Nations remain at negotiation tables that ultimately lead to the termination of their peoples Inherent and Aboriginal rights, especially since it appears that Modern Treaties are routinely broken after they are signed by the federal government?

Many of these negotiations are in British Columbia where despite the past twenty years of negotiations the B.C. Treaty process has produced two small Modern Treaties, Tsawwassan and Maa’Nulth. The Nisga’a Treaty was concluded in 2000, outside of the B.C. Treaty process.

All of these Modern Treaties have resulted in extinguishing Aboriginal Title, converting reserve lands into fee simple, removing tax exemptions, converting bands into municipalities, among other impacts on Inherent and Aboriginal rights.

The Harper Government’s Termination Plan

Aside from the unilateral legislation being imposed, or the funding cuts and caps to First Nation’s and their political organizations, the September 4, 2012, announcement of a “results based” approach to Modern Treaties and Self-Government negotiations amounts to a “take it or leave it” declaration on the part of the Harper government to the negotiating First Nations.

Canada’s Comprehensive Claims Policy requires First Nations to borrow money from the federal government to negotiate their “land claims”. According to the federal government:

To date, the total of outstanding loans to Aboriginal groups from Canada to support their participation in negotiations is $711 million. This represents a significant financial liability for the Aboriginal community. In addition, the government of Canada provides $60 million in grants and contributions to Aboriginal groups every year for negotiations.

It is Canada’s policies that forced First Nations to borrow money to negotiate their “claims”, so the “financial liability” was a policy measure designed by the federal government to pressure First Nations into settling their “claims” faster. As the federal government puts it, the Comprehensive Claims negotiation process has instead “spawned a negotiation industry that has no incentive to reach agreement.”
This accumulated debt of $711 million along with the $60 million annual in grants and contributions have compromised those negotiating First Nations and their leaders to the point that they are unable or unwilling to seriously confront the Harper government’s termination plan.

Over 50% of the Comprehensive Claims are located in B.C.and the First Nations Summit represents the negotiating First Nations in B.C., although some negotiating First Nations have now joined the Union of B.C. Indian Chiefs (UBCIC), thus blurring the historic distinctions between to two political organizations. The latter organization previously vigorously opposed the B.C. Treaty process, but now the UBCIC remains largely silent about it.

These two main political organizations -- the First Nations Summit and the UBCIC -- have now joined together into the B.C. First Nations Leadership Council, further blending the rights and interests of their respective member communities together, not taking into account whether they are in or out of the B.C. Treaty process.

This may partially explain why the Chiefs who are not in the B.C. Treaty process also remain largely silent about the Harper government’s “results based’ approach to Modern Treaties and Self-Government negotiations.

First Nations in British Columbia are failing to capitalize on that fact, that since the Delgamuukw Decision, the governments have to list unresolved land claims and litigation as a contingent liability. Such liabilities can affect Canada’s sovereign credit rating and provincial credit ratings. To counter this outstanding liability, Canada points to the British Columbia Treaty Process as the avenue how they are dealing with this liability, pointing to the fact that First Nations are borrowing substantive amounts to negotiate with the governments.

Another recent example of how disconnected B.C. First Nations and their organizations are on international versus domestic policy and law, is the First Nations’ outcry over the recent Canada-China Treaty.
The B.C. Chiefs and their organizations are publicly denouncing the Canada-China Foreign Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement as adversely impacting on Aboriginal Title and Rights, yet they say or do nothing about Harper’s accelerated termination plan. It seems the negotiating First Nations are more worried about the Canada-China Treaty blocking a future land claims deal under the B.C. Treaty process.

The Chiefs and their organizations at the B.C. Treaty process negotiation tables have had twenty years to negotiate the “recognition and affirmation” of Aboriginal Title and Rights, but this continues to be impossible under Canada’s policies aiming at the extinguishment of collective rights. As a result only two extinguishment Treaties have resulted from the process. Even Sophie Pierre, Chair of the B.C. Treaty Commission has said “If we can't do it, it's about time we faced the obvious - I guess we don't have it, so shut her down”.

By most accounts the twenty year old B.C. Treaty process has been a failure. It has served the governments’ purpose of countering their contingent liabilities regarding Indigenous land rights. Yet it seems the negotiating First Nations are so compromised by their federal loans and dependent on the negotiations funding stream that they are unable or unwilling to withdraw from the tables en masse and make real on the demand that the Harper government reform its Comprehensive Claims and Self-Government policies to be consistent with the Articles of the UNDRIP.

The same can also be said for the negotiating First Nations in the Ontario, Quebec and Atlantic regions.
The Chiefs who are not in the B.C., Quebec or Atlantic negotiating processes have not responded much, if at all, to Harper’s “results based” approach to Modern Treaties and Self-Government. The non-negotiating Chiefs seem to be more interested in managing programs and services issues than their Aboriginal Title and Rights. As one federal official put it, the Chiefs are involved in the elements of the 1969 White Paper on Indian Policy like economic and social development while ignoring the main White Paper objective—termination of First Nations legal status.

Conclusion

Given their silence over the Harper government’s “results based” “take it or leave it” negotiations approach, it seems many of the negotiating First Nations at the Comprehensive Claims and/or Self-Government tables are still contemplating concluding Agreements under Canada’s termination policies.
This can only lead to further division among First Nations across Canada as more First Nations compromise their constitutional and international rights by consenting to final settlement agreements under the terms and conditions of Canada’s termination policies, while undermining the political positions of the non-negotiating First Nations.

In the meantime, Harper’s government will continue pawning off Indigenous lands and resources in the midst of a financial crisis though free trade and foreign investment protection agreements, which will secure foreign corporate access to lands and resources and undermine Indigenous Rights.

Some First Nation leaders and members have criticised AFN National Chief Shawn Atleo for agreeing to a joint approach with the Harper government, including the Crown-First Nations Gathering (CFNG), but to be fair, the Chiefs across Canada did nothing to pressure Prime Minister Harper going into the CFNG. Instead, many Chiefs used the occasion as a photo op posing with the Prime Minister.

The negotiating First Nations who are in joint processes with Canada seem to be collectively heading to the cliff of the “Buffalo Jump” as they enter termination agreements with Canada emptying out section 35 in the process.

Much of the criticism of AFN National Chief Atleo has come from the Prairie Treaty Chiefs. Interestingly, if one looks at the federal chart of the 93 negotiation tables [http://www.aadnc-aandc.gc.ca/eng/1346782327802/1346782485058] not too many First Nations from historic Treaty areas are involved in the Self-Government tables, except for the Ontario region where the Union of Ontario Indians and Nisnawbe-Aski Nation are negotiating Self-Government agreements.

As a result of the September 4, 2012 announcements regarding changes to Modern Treaties and Self-Government negotiations, cuts and caps to funding First Nations political organizations and unilateral legislation initiatives, it is obvious that Prime Minister Harper has tricked the AFN National Chief and First Nations by showing that the CFNG “outcomes” were largely meaningless.

One commitment that Prime Minister Harper made at the CFNG—which he will probably keep—Is making a progress report in January 2013. The Prime Minister will probably announce the progress being made with all of the negotiating tables across Canada, along with his legislative initiatives.

It appears First Nations are at the proverbial “end of the trail” as the Chiefs seem to be either co-opted or afraid to challenge the Harper government. Most grassroots peoples aren’t even fully informed about the dangerous situation facing them and their future generations.

The only way to counter the Harper government is to:

·         have all negotiating First Nations suspend their talks; and
·         organize coordinated National Days of Action to register First Nations opposition to the Harper government’s termination plan;
·         Demand Canada suspend all First Nations legislation in Parliament, cease introducing new Bills and
·         Change Canada’s Land Claims and Self-Government Policies to “recognize and affirm” the Inherent, Aboriginal and Treaty Rights of First Nations, including respect and implementation of the Historic Treaties.

If there is no organized protest and resistance to the Harper government’s termination plan, First Nations should accept their place at the bottom of all social, cultural and economic indicators in Canada, just buy into Harper’s jobs and economic action plan—and be quiet about their rights.

*
The First Nations Strategic Bulletin is a publication of the First Nations Strategic Policy Counsel, an informal group of individuals who are practitioners in either First Nations policy or law. The publication is a volunteer non-profit effort and is part of a series. For Back Issues Go To: Canada Library & Archives - Electronic Collections.

Russell Diabo is the Publisher and Editor of First Nations Strategic Bulletin. He can be reached via E-mail: at rdiabo(at)rogers.com